UBS deployed a team of 18 analysts and editors to run a computer simulation for next month’s World Cup 10,000 times to predict who will win the tournament, reports NZ Herald
The UBS model consisted of 17 pages worth of research for this summer’s tournament based on the participating nations and has been dubbed as the “World Football Elo Rating”.
After 10,000 simulations, the overall conclusion is that Germany will retain the World Cup this summer with Brazil and Spain completing the top three.
Top six finishers for 2018 World Cup (via Computer simulation)
Although it is worth noting that the UBS and other banks ran a simulation in the previous World Cup and predicted that Brazil would win at their home ground, only to be thrashed by eventual winners Germany 7-1 in the semi-finals.
The World Cup will begin on June 14, where the hosts Russia will face Saudi Arabia for their Group A opener at the Luzhniki Stadium.