Atalanta (3rd) are set to face Inter Milan (2nd) at the Stadio Atleti Azzurri d’Italia on Saturday in their final match of the 2019/20 Serie A campaign as the two sides battle it out for the second-place finish.
With just a single point separating the teams ahead of the kick-off, Atalanta and Inter have everything to play for here.
A 2-1 comeback win over Parma last time out took Atalanta’s tally for the season to 98 goals, bringing the hosts on the threshold of a 100-goal milestone.
Indeed, if the Bergamo-based outfit score two goals here as they did in 14 of 18 Serie A home fixtures this season, they will become the first Italian team to achieve such a prominent record since AC Milan, Inter Milan, and Juventus managed so in 1950/51.
Alejandro ‘Papu’ Gomez, Duvan Zapata, and Co boast the division’s highest-scoring ratio on home soil, having netted an average of 2.83 goals per Serie A fixture.
But, against the backdrop of ridiculous goalscoring capabilities of Gian Piero Gasperini’s side, ‘La Dea’ have bagged under 1.5 goals in five of their last six top-flight H2H clashes against Inter (W1, D3, L2).
Inter Milan head to Bergamo on a run of seven Serie A games without a loss (W4, D3). While six of those matches saw the ‘Nerazzurri’ score two goals or more, four yielded a clean sheet.
Antonio Conte’s men have been particularly impressive on the road since the restart. They’ve not only avoided defeat in all five of their Serie A trips since June’s resumption (W3, D2), but they’ve scored 2+ goals in each.
Particularly deadly after the break, the visitors accrued 76.92% (ten) of 13 goals scored across those matches in the second half of play.
Yet, continuous lapses of concentration post halftime are something Atalanta can benefit from. The majority (73.68%) of Inter’s 19 Serie A away goals conceded this season arrived after the break (14).
For those who’d like to support Atalanta’s claim for a 100-goal achievement, Bet365 puts the home side at 4/5 (1.80) to score over 1.5 goals.